ELITE AVM · PROFESSIONAL VALUATION ENGINE V2.4
Automated Property Valuation Model
Comparable-based, building-aware, and micro-location intelligent valuation engine. Produces defensible market values, confidence scores, and factor-adjusted evidence.
✓ Loaded 150m² Smouha (Alexandria) Reference Case across all 7 steps.
Calculating Defensible Valuation...
- ✓ Normalizing property attributes & coordinates
- ✓ Querying 6 geographic search tiers
- ✓ Applying 10-factor similarity matrix
- ✓ Running IQR / MAD statistical outlier quarantine
- ✓ Computing weighted median & market trend adjustment
ELITE REAL ESTATE AVM
Official Valuation Output
Estimated Fair Market Value
EGP 7.55M
EGP 7,550,000
50,333 EGP / m²
Market Value Range
7.30M – 7.80M EGP
Spread: ±3.3% based on dispersion
Recommended Asking Price
7.75M EGP
Includes observed ~4% negotiation buffer
Expected Transaction Range
7.35M – 7.60M EGP
Derived from verified market closures
Confidence Score
89%
Very High Confidence
Total Evaluated
14
Candidate records in search tier
Strong Comparables (≥85%)
7
High-fidelity evidence
Valid Comparables (75–84%)
4
Weighted secondary support
Used in Final Valuation
11
Excludes extreme outliers
Key Value Drivers (Model Factor Evaluation)
Micro-Location
Strong
Building Quality
Good
View & Orientation
Very Good
Finishing & Condition
Good
Market Position
Fair
Positive Value Factors (+)
Risk & Sensitivity Considerations (-)
⚠️
Statistical Outlier Detection Active:
Comparable Market Evidence (Top 5 Ranked Comparables)
Calculated using 10 weighted similarity attributes and transparent factor adjustments.
| Property / Building | Area | Floor | View | Asking / Sold Price | Orig Price/m² | Similarity | Adjusted Price/m² | Weight | Adjustments |
|---|
Analyst & Model Calibration Desk
Configure similarity weights, outlier thresholds, and view model error validation metrics.
Adjust model weights (Sum must equal 100%):
25%
20%
10%
10%
10%
8%
5%
5%
4%
3%
Historical Calibration Dataset Error Metrics:
Alexandria Market
MAE: EGP 148,500
MAPE: 4.2%
Median Abs Error: EGP 112,000
91.5% within ±10%Cairo Market
MAE: EGP 220,000
MAPE: 4.8%
Median Abs Error: EGP 165,000
88.7% within ±10%North Coast Market
MAE: EGP 310,000
MAPE: 5.4%
Median Abs Error: EGP 240,000
86.2% within ±10%Geographic Retrieval Hierarchy (6 Tiers):
- Tier 1: Same Building (Score: 100)
- Tier 2: Same Street (Score: 95)
- Tier 3: Same Micro Area / Zone (Score: 85)
- Tier 4: Adjacent / Similar Micro Area (Score: 70)
- Tier 5: Same District (Score: 55)
- Tier 6: Wider Regional Market (Score: 25)
